« Vista download via Bittorrent | Main | Making Coasters »

June 12, 2006

Scoble leaves Microsoft for the new IP TV goldrush

Bleeding Edge is right now preparing a presentation for students of the Australian Film Television and Radio School on the impact of IP-based digital media ... at the invitation of Jason Romney, who's been a tireless evangelist in the field. If we needed further evidence that we're facing what former Intel CEO Andy Grove called a "strategic inflection point" - and given we've been predicting this for the past couple of years, we really don't - the decision by Robert Scoble to resign his job as the public face of Microsoft to join a video blog start-up would be it.

It's about 18 months since we wrote a column for The Age and the Sydney Morning Herald awarding the King Canute Prize to Harold Mitchell for his claim on the ABC's Insider program that Personal Video Recorders would have no effect on the revenue stream of free-to-air TV, because "people like to watch TV commercials".

In other columns, and on this blog, we've been trying to point out that time-shifting - through the use of PVRs and BitTorrent downloads - together with video blogs like Rocketboom, are unmistakeable indicators that the stranglehold enjoyed by media barons has already been broken.

As we pointed out in a recent column: "In the more leisurely economies of the past, the exchange that took
place between the broadcaster and the viewer was relatively benign. The network imposed what was essentially a tax on time, in which the viewer paid for his entertainment with those mindless minutes spent watching
commercials.

"Unfortunately, today's economy has completely altered the exchange rate. It isn't just that the amount of entertainment that these days can be squeezed in between the commercial breaks seems to have shrunk
dramatically. There's also the opportunity cost: adjusting one's life to suit the network schedules requires a considerable sacrifice."

The advertising industry has already begun to wake up. Rocketboom, for instance, is now making $US85,000 a week from its advertisers.

All these developments underline just how pathetic the Packer empire's response - suing the tiny EPG company IceTV - is. They've been treating their audience with contempt for far too long, and now they're going to pay for it. As we pointed out recently, we can't remember when we last watched anything on Nine.

In the past couple of weeks, we've seen more of the tectonic plates slipping. The US network CBS has joined NBC and the ABC selling their shows on the iTunes Music Store. Essentially this is video on demand on training wheels. The shows are available in the US at $1.99 a throw, but the future is ad-supported downloads - ironically, probably using BitTorrent.

Free to air TV is just going to have to learn to live with a diminished share of the audience - although this will take a lot longer in Australia, due to the fact that our Government has allowed Telstra to drip-feed the nation with bandwidth. Terry Heaton suggests it's a critical time for local media, which is struggling to come up with solutions. Hiis point is this: "The foundational understanding that broadcasters MUST get their arms around is this: Revenue isn't the problem; audience is the problem. Fix the problem." Australian TV faces the same problem. It has alienated its audiences by stuffing as many ads as possible into the programming, cheating them by recycling shows they've already seen without notice, and ignoring their published schedules. To say nothing of constantly showing them junk. Judging from their response to the brewing crisis, they seem utterly clueless as to what might be done to win back viewers.

By the way. The latest edition of PC User magazine includes an article on how to convert video to PDA format. Not that we believe too many people are going to be watching video on handhelds. Not regularly, anyway.

And Bleeding Edge's ADSL service got shaped last month, because we were downloading too many shows from the BBC.

Posted by cw at June 12, 2006 03:37 PM

Trackback Pings

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://bleedingedge.com.au/cgi-bin/mt/mt-tb.cgi/917

Comments

Post a comment




Remember Me?



(you may use HTML tags for style)